Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 52.38%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
