Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
