SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
42.33% ( -0.11) | 25.43% ( 0.03) | 32.24% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% ( -0.09) | 48.45% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% ( -0.08) | 70.58% ( 0.09) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.21% ( -0.09) | 22.79% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.51% ( -0.14) | 56.49% ( 0.14) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0.01) | 28.41% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( 0.01) | 64.17% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.33% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.24% |
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