SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Chester FC | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Darlington | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Kettering Town | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | King's Lynn Town | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Banbury United | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banbury United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Banbury United |
30.4% ( -0.23) | 25.56% ( 0.02) | 44.04% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( -0.19) | 49.7% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.28% ( -0.17) | 71.71% ( 0.17) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( -0.25) | 30.27% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( -0.31) | 66.45% ( 0.31) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.49% ( 0.02) | 22.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.92% ( 0.03) | 56.07% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Banbury United |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.16% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 44.03% |
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