SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Alfreton Town | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Gloucester City | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Chester FC | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Darlington | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | Kettering Town | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Darlington |
40.94% ( -0.04) | 28.39% ( 0.04) | 30.67% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.71% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.6% ( -0.14) | 60.39% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.46% ( -0.11) | 80.53% ( 0.1) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( -0.09) | 28.97% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.13% ( -0.11) | 64.86% ( 0.11) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( -0.08) | 35.64% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% ( -0.08) | 72.41% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 40.94% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 30.66% |
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