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National League North | Gameweek 9
Sep 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Horsfall Stadium

Bradford Park Av
1 - 3
Darlington

Spencer (4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fielding (45' og.), Beck (61', 75')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Bradford Park Avenue and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darlington 3-2 Boston
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.

Result
Bradford Park AvenueDrawDarlington
21.57% (0.344 0.34) 26.24% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09) 52.19% (-0.248 -0.25)
Both teams to score 44.62% (0.652 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.73% (0.634 0.63)58.27% (-0.63399999999999 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.1% (0.493 0.49)78.9% (-0.492 -0.49)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.54% (0.727 0.73)42.46% (-0.727 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.17% (0.617 0.62)78.83% (-0.616 -0.62)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55% (0.158 0.16)22.45% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.01% (0.236 0.24)55.99% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Bradford Park Avenue 21.57%
    Darlington 52.19%
    Draw 26.23%
Bradford Park AvenueDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 5.22% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 3.5% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.49% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.049 0.05)
3-0 @ 1% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 21.57%
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 14.24% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-2 @ 10.63% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 5.3% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.54% (0.045 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 52.19%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Leamington 1-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-1 Spennymoor
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 2-2 Bradford Park Av
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 1-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 3-2 Boston
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-0 Farsley Celtic
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Darlington
Saturday, August 27 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Banbury
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-0 Darlington
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-1 Darlington
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League North


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