SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Farsley Celtic | 7 | -5 | 5 |
| 23 | Bradford Park Avenue | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 24 | Boston United | 7 | -8 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Leamington FC | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Darlington | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Alfreton Town | 7 | 4 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 1-0 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Darlington |
21.57% ( 0.34) | 26.24% ( -0.09) | 52.19% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 44.62% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.73% ( 0.63) | 58.27% ( -0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.1% ( 0.49) | 78.9% ( -0.49) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.54% ( 0.73) | 42.46% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.17% ( 0.62) | 78.83% ( -0.62) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( 0.16) | 22.45% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.01% ( 0.24) | 55.99% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.08% Total : 21.57% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 14.24% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 10.63% ( -0.16)1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 52.19% |
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