Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
