Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.