Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 54.8%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
