Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fylde in this match.