Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gloucester City win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gloucester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gloucester City would win this match.
