Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.