Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
