Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Gloucester City had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Gloucester City win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.