Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.