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National League North | Gameweek 4
Oct 27, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Deva Stadium

Chester
2 - 1
Curzon Ashton

Elliott (37'), Glendon (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Knowles (68')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Curzon Ashton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawCurzon Ashton
55.49%23.2%21.31%
Both teams to score 53.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07%46.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82%69.18%
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25%16.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.31%46.69%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.74%36.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96%73.04%
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 55.48%
    Curzon Ashton 21.31%
    Draw 23.2%
Chester FCDrawCurzon Ashton
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.7%
3-1 @ 5.86%
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.62%
4-0 @ 2.58%
4-2 @ 1.33%
5-1 @ 0.93%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 55.48%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.2%
0-1 @ 6.16%
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.13%
1-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 21.31%


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