Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Curzon Ashton win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.