Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
Result | ||
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Radcliffe |
46.5% ( -0.85) | 24.57% ( 0.21) | 28.92% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 56.43% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.84% ( -0.52) | 46.16% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.54% ( -0.49) | 68.46% ( 0.49) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% ( -0.56) | 19.94% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% ( -0.92) | 52.09% ( 0.92) |
Radcliffe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.49% ( 0.2) | 29.51% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.48% ( 0.24) | 65.52% ( -0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Radcliffe |
1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.92% Total : 46.5% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.32% Total : 28.92% |
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