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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Newport County |
40.48% ( -0.67) | 26.87% ( 0.27) | 32.65% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.72% ( -0.98) | 54.28% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.32% ( -0.83) | 75.67% ( 0.82) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.67% ( -0.81) | 26.33% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.53% ( -1.09) | 61.47% ( 1.08) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.95% ( -0.23) | 31.05% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.63% ( -0.27) | 67.36% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Newport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.2% Total : 40.47% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.87% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 3% Total : 32.65% |
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