SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 17.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Kidderminster Harriers win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
60.68% ( -0.31) | 21.59% ( 0.06) | 17.73% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.23% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.97% ( 0.16) | 45.03% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.62% ( 0.15) | 67.38% ( -0.15) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.62% ( -0.05) | 14.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.73% ( -0.09) | 42.26% ( 0.09) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.01% ( 0.39) | 38.99% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.28% ( 0.36) | 75.71% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.67% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.59% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.16% Total : 17.73% |
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