SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Kidderminster Harriers had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
48.38% ( -0.01) | 25.19% ( -0.01) | 26.43% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.56% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( 0.06) | 50.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( 0.06) | 72.32% ( -0.05) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( 0.03) | 20.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.47% ( 0.04) | 53.53% ( -0.03) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( 0.05) | 33.6% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.75% ( 0.05) | 70.25% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 48.38% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 26.43% |
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