SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for South Shields had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a South Shields win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | South Shields |
66.29% ( 2.17) | 20.23% ( -0.69) | 13.48% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 46.78% ( -1.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.79% ( -0.11) | 47.21% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.56% ( -0.11) | 69.44% ( 0.11) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.64% ( 0.62) | 13.36% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.74% ( 1.23) | 40.26% ( -1.22) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.99% ( -2.24) | 46.01% ( 2.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.27% ( -1.79) | 81.73% ( 1.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | South Shields |
| 2-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.19)5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 66.28% | 1-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.34) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.29)Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.23% | 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.38)0-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.19% Total : 13.48% |
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