SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kidderminster Harriers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
30.07% ( 0.03) | 25.96% ( -0.01) | 43.97% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.6% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.51% ( 0.05) | 51.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.71% ( 0.04) | 73.29% ( -0.04) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.58% ( 0.05) | 31.42% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.21% ( 0.05) | 67.79% ( -0.05) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.69% ( 0.01) | 23.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.74% ( 0.01) | 57.26% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.07% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.77% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 43.96% |
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