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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Buxton had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.28%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Buxton win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Buxton |
60.61% ( -0.07) | 23.18% ( 0.02) | 16.2% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 44.43% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.1% ( 0.03) | 53.89% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% ( 0.03) | 75.35% ( -0.03) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( -0.02) | 17.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.1% ( -0.02) | 47.89% ( 0.02) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.81% ( 0.1) | 46.18% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.13% ( 0.08) | 81.86% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 14.06% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.41% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 60.6% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.18% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.35% Total : 16.2% |
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