SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Needham Market | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
28.85% ( -0.18) | 25.47% ( 0.01) | 45.69% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( -0.14) | 50.04% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( -0.13) | 72.01% ( 0.13) |
| Needham Market Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.44% ( -0.21) | 31.56% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.04% ( -0.24) | 67.96% ( 0.24) |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( 0.02) | 21.89% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( 0.02) | 55.14% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Needham Market | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.69% |
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