Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Leamington FC had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Leamington FC win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.