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National League North | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Phillips 66 Community Stadium

Leamington
2 - 1
Hereford

Turner (10'), Landers (63')
Ward (57'), Stewart (61'), Edwards (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
D'Ath (47')
Hudson (30'), Campbell (72'), Mitchell (90+2')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Leamington FC and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brackley Town 2-1 Leamington
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-3 Kidderminster
Thursday, December 26 at 1pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Leamington FC had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Leamington FC win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Leamington FCDrawHereford United
32.19% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 26.63% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 41.18% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.4% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56%53.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)74.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Leamington FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)30.93% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)67.22% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.42% (0.019000000000005 0.02)25.58% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.55% (0.028999999999996 0.03)60.45% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leamington FC 32.19%
    Hereford United 41.18%
    Draw 26.62%
Leamington FCDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 32.19%
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.06%
Other @ 1%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 10.78%
1-2 @ 8.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.18%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-1 Leamington
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 4-1 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Leamington
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Leamington
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 0-1 Needham Market
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 0-2 Scunthorpe
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-3 Kidderminster
Thursday, December 26 at 1pm in National League North
Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-0 Hereford
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, December 17 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Chorley
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-1 Hereford
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 3-0 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League North


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