SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 56.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Rushall Olympic had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Rushall Olympic win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Rushall Olympic |
56.49% ( 0.25) | 23.45% ( -0.11) | 20.06% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.53% ( 0.28) | 49.47% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.49% ( 0.25) | 71.51% ( -0.25) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.68% ( 0.19) | 17.32% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.32% ( 0.34) | 47.68% ( -0.33) |
| Rushall Olympic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.01% ( 0.01) | 38.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.29% ( 0.01) | 75.71% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Rushall Olympic |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 56.47% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.42% Total : 20.06% |
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