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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Chorley has a probability of 30.49% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Chorley win is 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.68%).
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Chorley |
42.79% ( 0.27) | 26.73% ( -0.22) | 30.49% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.63% ( 0.84) | 54.37% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.25% ( 0.7) | 75.75% ( -0.69) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( 0.52) | 25.17% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( 0.71) | 59.89% ( -0.71) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.39% ( 0.4) | 32.61% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.85% ( 0.44) | 69.15% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.79% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.27)2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.93% 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.49% |
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