SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leamington FC | Draw | Hereford United |
40.79% ( 0.1) | 26.51% ( 0) | 32.69% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.14% ( -0.04) | 52.86% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.52% ( -0.04) | 74.48% ( 0.03) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( 0.03) | 25.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( 0.05) | 60.37% ( -0.05) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( -0.09) | 30.3% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% ( -0.11) | 66.48% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leamington FC | Draw | Hereford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 40.79% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 32.69% |
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