SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Kidderminster Harriers | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Leamington FC | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Alfreton Town | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Southport | 7 | -7 | 7 |
| 20 | Kettering Town | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 21 | AFC Telford United | 7 | -7 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 41.34%. A win for Kettering Town had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Kettering Town win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Leamington FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leamington FC | Draw | Kettering Town |
41.34% ( -0.06) | 28.8% ( -0.02) | 29.86% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.3% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.01% ( 0.1) | 61.99% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.27% ( 0.08) | 81.73% ( -0.08) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( 0.02) | 29.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.45% ( 0.02) | 65.55% ( -0.02) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% ( 0.13) | 37.13% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.08% ( 0.13) | 73.92% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leamington FC | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.37% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0)4-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 1.48% Total : 41.34% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 10.86% 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.78% Total : 29.86% |
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