SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Hereford United | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 18 | Kettering Town | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 19 | Bradford Park Avenue | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Darlington | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | AFC Telford United | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Buxton | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kettering Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kettering Town | Draw | AFC Telford United |
47.93% ( -0.06) | 25.75% ( 0.02) | 26.32% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% ( -0.05) | 52.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( -0.04) | 74.33% ( 0.05) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( -0.05) | 21.99% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.7% ( -0.07) | 55.3% ( 0.08) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.07% ( 0.01) | 34.93% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.33% ( 0.01) | 71.66% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kettering Town | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.92% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 26.33% |
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