SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Southport | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Buxton | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 20 | AFC Telford United | 6 | -5 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | AFC Telford United | 6 | -5 | 6 |
| 21 | Kettering Town | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 22 | Farsley Celtic | 6 | -3 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kettering Town had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Kettering Town win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Kettering Town |
64.18% ( 0.26) | 21.43% ( -0.13) | 14.4% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.48% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( 0.26) | 50.25% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( 0.23) | 72.2% ( -0.23) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% ( 0.17) | 14.98% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.58% ( 0.32) | 43.42% ( -0.32) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.5% ( -0.04) | 46.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.89% ( -0.03) | 82.11% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Kettering Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.22% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 64.17% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.42% | 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.21% Total : 14.4% |
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