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National League North | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Latimer Park
AT

Kettering
1 - 3
Alfreton

Bennett (20')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Southwell (8'), Hobson (61'), Denton (66')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kettering Town and Alfreton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Kettering
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 21.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Kettering TownDrawAlfreton Town
52.03% (0.201 0.2) 26.11% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 21.86% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 45.3% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.44% (0.188 0.19)57.56% (-0.185 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.66% (0.15 0.15)78.34% (-0.14500000000001 -0.15)
Kettering Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (0.16800000000001 0.17)22.23% (-0.164 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (0.249 0.25)55.65% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)41.75% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.78% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)78.22% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kettering Town 52.02%
    Alfreton Town 21.86%
    Draw 26.11%
Kettering TownDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 13.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 52.02%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.28% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 21.86%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Kettering
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 2-0 Telford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 1-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 2-1 Kettering
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-1 Kettering
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 1-0 Alfreton
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 4-0 Southport
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 0-0 Alfreton
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-2 Chester
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 2-1 Guiseley
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 1-0 Alfreton
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League North


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