SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Darlington | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 18 | Kettering Town | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Blyth Spartans | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Kidderminster Harriers | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Alfreton Town | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 21.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kettering Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
52.03% ( 0.2) | 26.11% ( -0.08) | 21.86% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 45.3% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.44% ( 0.19) | 57.56% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.66% ( 0.15) | 78.34% ( -0.15) |
| Kettering Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 0.17) | 22.23% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( 0.25) | 55.65% ( -0.24) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.25% ( -0.01) | 41.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.78% ( -0.01) | 78.22% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kettering Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.95% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 52.02% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.86% |
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