SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.62%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Brackley Town |
28.08% ( 0.22) | 27.73% ( -0.02) | 44.19% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 46.3% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.95% ( 0.16) | 59.05% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.49% ( 0.12) | 79.51% ( -0.12) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.07% ( 0.27) | 36.93% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.28% ( 0.27) | 73.72% ( -0.27) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.03) | 26.58% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.2% ( -0.04) | 61.8% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.8% Total : 28.08% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 13% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 44.18% |
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