Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Brackley Town
29.39% ( -1.12)	27.16% ( 0.73)	43.44% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 48.62% (

-2.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.55% (

-3.26)

56.45% (

3.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.55% (

-2.7)

77.45% (

2.7)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.5% (

-2.53)

34.5% (

2.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.78% (

-2.79)

71.22% (

2.79)

Brackley Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.23% (

-1.27)

25.77% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.28% (

-1.76)

60.71% (

1.76)

Score Analysis

Chorley 29.39%

Brackley Town 43.44%

Draw 27.16%

Chorley	Draw	Brackley Town
1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.22% Total : 29.39%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 1.06) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.41) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 12.05% ( 1.04) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.43) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.44%