Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
-1.12) 
0.73) 
