SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
34.97% ( 13.78) | 26.55% ( 3.36) | 38.48% ( -17.15) |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% ( -5.58) | 52.58% ( 5.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.76% ( -4.99) | 74.24% ( 4.99) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 7.72) | 28.7% ( -7.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.46% ( 8.68) | 64.53% ( -8.69) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% ( -9.91) | 26.65% ( 9.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% ( -15.24) | 61.88% ( 15.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 3.39) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 2.32)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 2.85)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 1.41)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 1.43)3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.5)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.55)Other @ 2.64% Total : 34.97% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 1.62) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 1.55)2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.78) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -1.49)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -3.05)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -2.18)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -2.86)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.66)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -1.4)0-4 @ 0.98% ( -1.62)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.47% |
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