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National League North | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
1 - 1
Brackley Town

Hatfield (33')
Sukar (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Newton (6')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Darlington and Brackley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scunthorpe 4-0 Darlington
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Bishop's Stortford
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
DarlingtonDrawBrackley Town
30.98% (-0.388 -0.39) 28.18% (-0.073 -0.07) 40.84% (0.459 0.46)
Both teams to score 46.41% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.43% (0.151 0.15)59.57% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.09% (0.116 0.12)79.91% (-0.119 -0.12)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.03% (-0.205 -0.2)34.97% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.29% (-0.217 -0.22)71.71% (0.215 0.22)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (0.333 0.33)28.63% (-0.335 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56% (0.416 0.42)64.44% (-0.41800000000001 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 30.98%
    Brackley Town 40.84%
    Draw 28.17%
DarlingtonDrawBrackley Town
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 6.91% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 30.98%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.17%
0-1 @ 12.52% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.23% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.83% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.43% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 40.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Scunthorpe 4-0 Darlington
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-0 Darlington
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-3 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 0-1 Darlington
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-3 King's Lynn
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-0 Bishop's Stortford
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-1 Buxton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 1-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-2 Kidderminster
Sunday, May 14 at 3.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-1 Brackley Town
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 2-2 Gloucester City (4-3 pen.)
Wednesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in National League North


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