Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Darlington win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Darlington | Draw | Brackley Town |
30.98% ( -0.39) | 28.18% ( -0.07) | 40.84% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 46.41% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.43% ( 0.15) | 59.57% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.09% ( 0.12) | 79.91% ( -0.12) |
Darlington Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.03% ( -0.2) | 34.97% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.29% ( -0.22) | 71.71% ( 0.22) |
Brackley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.37% ( 0.33) | 28.63% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.56% ( 0.42) | 64.44% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Darlington | Draw | Brackley Town |
1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 30.98% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.67% Total : 40.84% |
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