SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Buxton |
29.1% ( -2.28) | 26.03% ( -0.3) | 44.87% ( 2.58) |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( 0.28) | 52.23% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( 0.25) | 73.93% ( -0.24) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( -1.49) | 32.51% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( -1.71) | 69.03% ( 1.71) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( 1.39) | 23.2% ( -1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.9% ( 1.99) | 57.09% ( -1.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.37)2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.1% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.41)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.2)2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.01% Total : 44.86% |
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