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National League North | Gameweek 33
Mar 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Lincoln Road

P'boro Sports
1 - 4
Hereford

Williams (78' og.)
FT(HT: 0-2)
Williams (16'), Southern (26'), Babos (79', 83')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Peterborough Sports and Hereford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 0-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough SportsDrawHereford United
36.07% (-0.636 -0.64) 27.45% (0.041 0.04) 36.49% (0.599 0.6)
Both teams to score 49.5% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.86% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)56.14% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.8% (-0.12 -0.12)77.21% (0.124 0.12)
Peterborough Sports Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.462 -0.46)29.77% (0.465 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-0.565 -0.56)65.85% (0.568 0.57)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.48% (0.295 0.3)29.52% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47% (0.35700000000001 0.36)65.53% (-0.355 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough Sports 36.06%
    Hereford United 36.48%
    Draw 27.45%
Peterborough SportsDrawHereford United
1-0 @ 10.64% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 36.06%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.79% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.72% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.073 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.143 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.055 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.079 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 36.48%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Southport 0-0 P'boro Sports
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-3 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 4-0 Rushall Olympic
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-2 P'boro Sports
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 3-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-1 Chester
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 1-1 Chester
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-0 Tamworth
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 5-2 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Hereford 0-3 South Shields
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in National League North


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