SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Gloucester City |
57.29% ( 4.67) | 22.7% ( -0.38) | 20% ( -4.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -4.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.51% ( -3.36) | 46.49% ( 3.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.24% ( -3.23) | 68.76% ( 3.23) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.02% ( 0.43) | 15.97% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.73% ( 0.78) | 45.27% ( -0.79) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% ( -5.88) | 37.34% ( 5.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.87% ( -6.28) | 74.13% ( 6.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Gloucester City |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 1.61) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 1.6)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 6.14% ( 1.05)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.42)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.52)4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.17)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.2)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.28% Total : 57.29% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.8)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.77)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.33)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.93)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.56)1-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.66)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.57)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.38)Other @ 1.63% Total : 20% |
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