SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Buxton |
46.95% ( -0.62) | 25.99% ( -0.02) | 27.06% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 50.6% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.82% ( 0.48) | 53.17% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.25% ( 0.41) | 74.74% ( -0.41) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% ( -0.08) | 22.63% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.73% ( -0.12) | 56.26% ( 0.11) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% ( 0.78) | 34.59% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% ( 0.82) | 71.31% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 3% Total : 46.95% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.06% |
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