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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough Sports win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough Sports win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough Sports would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Warrington Town |
45.81% ( -0.18) | 27.03% ( 0.01) | 27.16% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 47.66% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.98% ( 0.07) | 57.02% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.09% ( 0.05) | 77.91% ( -0.06) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( -0.05) | 24.84% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% ( -0.08) | 59.44% ( 0.07) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.42% ( 0.18) | 36.58% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.63% ( 0.18) | 73.37% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough Sports | Draw | Warrington Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.85% Total : 27.16% |
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