SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 1-0 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Alfreton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Warrington Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
21.85% ( -0.08) | 23.44% ( -0.02) | 54.7% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.69% ( -0.02) | 47.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.47% ( -0.01) | 69.53% ( 0.01) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.05% ( -0.09) | 35.95% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.27% ( -0.09) | 72.73% ( 0.09) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( 0.03) | 17.17% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.57% ( 0.05) | 47.43% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Warrington Town | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 21.85% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.43% | 0-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.8% Total : 54.7% |
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