SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 67.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 12.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.49%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 1-0 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Curzon Ashton in this match.
| Result | ||
| Warrington Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
12.33% ( 0.27) | 20.41% ( 0.28) | 67.26% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 43.06% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( -0.49) | 50.45% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( -0.44) | 72.38% ( 0.44) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.12% ( 0.17) | 49.88% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.42% ( 0.12) | 84.57% ( -0.11) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.91% ( -0.32) | 14.08% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.31% ( -0.64) | 41.69% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Warrington Town | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.33% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 13.77% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 13.49% ( -0.05)1-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 8.82% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 4.32% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.69% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.28% Total : 67.25% |
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