Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Boston United in this match.