Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Southport had a probability of 32.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.