Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.