Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Needham Market win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Needham Market win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Needham Market would win this match.
Result | ||
Warrington Town | Draw | Needham Market |
32.92% ( -0.09) | 25.27% ( -0.04) | 41.81% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.08% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.49% ( 0.14) | 47.5% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.28% ( 0.13) | 69.71% ( -0.13) |
Warrington Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% ( 0.01) | 27.51% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.97% ( 0.02) | 63.02% ( -0.02) |
Needham Market Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.37% ( 0.12) | 22.62% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.75% ( 0.18) | 56.25% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Warrington Town | Draw | Needham Market |
1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 32.92% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.26% | 0-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 41.81% |
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