Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Needham Market win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Southport had a probability of 18.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Needham Market win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Needham Market | Draw | Southport |
59.32% ( -0.65) | 22.61% ( 0.32) | 18.07% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 49.64% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.18% ( -0.82) | 48.82% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.08% ( -0.75) | 70.92% ( 0.75) |
Needham Market Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.9% ( -0.5) | 16.1% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.5% ( -0.92) | 45.5% ( 0.92) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.17% ( -0.09) | 40.83% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.6% ( -0.08) | 77.41% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Needham Market | Draw | Southport |
1-0 @ 12% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.07% |
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