Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Needham Market win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Southport had a probability of 18.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Needham Market win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Needham Market	Draw	Southport
59.32% ( -0.65)	22.61% ( 0.32)	18.07% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 49.64% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.18% (

-0.82)

48.82% (

0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.08% (

-0.75)

70.92% (

0.75)

Needham Market Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9% (

-0.5)

16.1% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.5% (

-0.92)

45.5% (

0.92)

Southport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.17% (

-0.09)

40.83% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.6% (

-0.08)

77.41% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Needham Market 59.31%

Southport 18.07%

Draw 22.61%

Needham Market	Draw	Southport
1-0 @ 12% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.31%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.61%	0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.07%