Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 54.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Warrington Town had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Warrington Town win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that South Shields would win this match.
Result | ||
South Shields | Draw | Warrington Town |
54.19% ( 1.65) | 23.87% ( -0.23) | 21.94% ( -1.43) |
Both teams to score 51.82% ( -1.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51% ( -0.55) | 48.99% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.92% ( -0.5) | 71.07% ( 0.49) |
South Shields Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.01% ( 0.41) | 17.98% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.16% ( 0.71) | 48.83% ( -0.72) |
Warrington Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% ( -1.64) | 36.81% ( 1.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.4% ( -1.68) | 73.6% ( 1.67) |
Score Analysis |
South Shields | Draw | Warrington Town |
1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.45% Total : 54.18% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.31) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.94% |
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